I've read this before, and now that I find a reference I thought I'd make a note:
"30,000 new products hitting the shelves each year but only 10-30% of them lasting into the second (Gavetti and Rivkin, 2005). The vast majority of new products, in other words, fail." -- Jonathan Hey.
Two things are interesting here: first, the vast number of products developed every year! The first question that comes to my mind is "really? do we need all that crap? And the second issue is: yes, one would imagine (intuitively) that a 90-70% rate of short-lived products is a failure... but is it? In view of the first point raised here, it would seem that perhaps the failure is not in having such a high rate of short-lived products, perhaps the actual failure is in wanting to design so much crap.
What I'm trying to say here is: why do we immediately jump to the conclusion that we need to design 'better products' that have a higher rate of commercial success (lifespan)? Isn't this rather telling us that we should design less?
Research blog by Ricardo Sosa on innovation and design, societal factors of creativity, diffusion of innovations, creative destruction, resistance to change, systemic creativity, sustainability, etc...
Thursday, October 29, 2009
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